
IATA continues to predict low market share and high additional costs for synthetic aviation fuels.
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) anticipates global production of approximately 2,4 million tons of alternative, synthetic aviation fuels for 2026. According to current calculations, this volume represents only 0,8 percent of total global fuel consumption in civil aviation. Despite this small market share, the enormous price difference compared to conventional kerosene will burden airlines' balance sheets in 2026 with projected additional costs of around US$4,3 billion. IATA Director General Willie Walsh criticized the ineffective and uncoordinated policies of numerous governments and the lack of investment interest from major international oil companies. To accelerate the development and availability of alternative fuels, the association is calling for a strategic realignment in four key areas. These include a massive expansion of renewable energy production to secure raw materials, open and non-discriminatory access to existing transport and airport infrastructure, and reliable government incentives for production. Furthermore, IATA advocates for the establishment of a global market based on a unified booking and settlement system. This would enable airlines to acquire the relevant fuel certificates regardless of the physical location of the respective production facilities and ensure harmonized standards in international competition. The association is particularly critical of the legal targets for electricity-based kerosene, so-called e-SAF (electric SAF), which is produced from hydrogen and carbon dioxide using a power-to-liquid process. The European Union and the United Kingdom have mandated a binding production quota of approximately 0,6 million tons for 2030. In contrast, the currently available or under-construction global capacity is only 0,02 million tons, with only one large-scale plant operating globally.








