Boeing expects a long dry spell

Boeing logo on an aircraft fuselage (Photo: Jan Gruber).
Boeing logo on an aircraft fuselage (Photo: Jan Gruber).

Boeing expects a long dry spell

Boeing logo on an aircraft fuselage (Photo: Jan Gruber).
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The US aircraft manufacturer Boeing is preparing for the fact that the demand for commercial aircraft will be significantly lower in the current decade. A real recovery is only expected in the next ten years. The corona pandemic will therefore have a long lasting effect.

In the current outlook, Boeing assumes that between 2020 and 2029, eleven percent fewer passenger and cargo aircraft will be delivered. One reckons with 18.350 machines. According to the manufacturer, it will never be possible to make up for the kink caused by the corona crisis. It is assumed that the demand will be 2039 jets by 43.110, but this forecast has already been revised downwards.

According to Boeing, expansion like in the time "before Corona" is over. In the current decade, customers are more likely to replace older machines with new ones. Fleet expansions are supposed to be the exception. The transport management for 2019 will not reach the aviation industry any longer. The US manufacturer suspects that this could take “at least” five years, and probably even longer.

Comment

  • Scrap metal aviators, 8. October 2020 @ 09: 30

    What's that whining about Boeing, do they want more subsidies? They should take a look at delivering their aircraft to their customers reasonably flawlessly. The stories of Max, Dreamliner, KC46 and B777x are known to every interested aircraft fanatic.
    One thinks that by the end of 2029 18350 aircraft with a size of 90 'or more are to be built.
    If you factor in 850 aircraft for this year, there are still 17500 aircraft to be built for the remaining nine years, or 1950 aircraft per year.
    Who should manufacture them? Boeing needs at least two more years to break the five hundred mark. Embraer has too few orders just like the Russians, who would have the opportunity to build up to 100 machines. Comac will need relevant quantities up to 2025 deliver.
    This practically leaves Airbus, which could produce up to 220 machines for the small A320 / 2025 by 1000, plus around 150 WB.
    A good comparison is the year 2018, when the world was still okay for Boeing and Airbus, when both manufacturers built and delivered 1600 aircraft together.

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Comment

  • Scrap metal aviators, 8. October 2020 @ 09: 30

    What's that whining about Boeing, do they want more subsidies? They should take a look at delivering their aircraft to their customers reasonably flawlessly. The stories of Max, Dreamliner, KC46 and B777x are known to every interested aircraft fanatic.
    One thinks that by the end of 2029 18350 aircraft with a size of 90 'or more are to be built.
    If you factor in 850 aircraft for this year, there are still 17500 aircraft to be built for the remaining nine years, or 1950 aircraft per year.
    Who should manufacture them? Boeing needs at least two more years to break the five hundred mark. Embraer has too few orders just like the Russians, who would have the opportunity to build up to 100 machines. Comac will need relevant quantities up to 2025 deliver.
    This practically leaves Airbus, which could produce up to 220 machines for the small A320 / 2025 by 1000, plus around 150 WB.
    A good comparison is the year 2018, when the world was still okay for Boeing and Airbus, when both manufacturers built and delivered 1600 aircraft together.

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This website uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn more about how your comment data is processed.

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